From the statistics of
all nomination it looks like Trump will win but the candidates are
still vying to impress the voters, but an
online bookie has revealed there is already a clear front runner - and
gamblers
are putting good money on it.
PredictIt, whose users put money on political outcomes, says
Trump has a 40 per cent chance of winning the Republican presidential
nomination.
That's 14 percentage points higher than the candidate in
second place Marco Rubio. It is 16 per cent better than Ted Cruz. Trump's rise in the polls has been mirrored in the markets.
Until late last year, PredictIt users were backing Florida
Governor Jeb Bush. He now lies in fourth place with just a 8 per cent chance,
16 behind Cruz.
Ben Carson, who was soaring in the polls, sits in a
disappointing 9th place.
Experts suggested it was because of his fundraising and
familiarity with voters.
In October, British website Paddy Power assigned Rubio 2-1
odds and Bush 11-4. Bookies are giving The Donald the odds of 10-3, behind the
two Florida polls.
For the Democrats, PredictIt users say former Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton has a 70 per cent chance of winning.
Credit: Mail Online
Credit: Mail Online
Before the popularity of scientific polling, election
betting – when it was still legal in the United States – was one of the best
ways to predict the outcome of an election.
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